TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 2:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the likelihood of the European T20 Premier League cricket match between the Rotterdam Dockers and the Dublin Guardians being completed as scheduled on September 17, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 98.5% that the match will be completed, with a 1.5% probability for the toss winner. Resolution will be based on official statistics from espncricinfo.com. Keep an eye on the match schedule leading up to September 24, 2026, as this date represents the end of the betting period and when official results will be used for settlement.
This market refers to the cricket match between Rotterdam Dockers and Dublin Guardians scheduled for September 17 2026 at 9:15 AM ET in European T20 Premier League. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Markets resolve to Yes if the named team wins the match as scheduled for September 17, 2026, at 9:15 AM EDT. Tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play all resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions before play begins also resolve to $0.50, while those after play begins follow the governing body's official winner declaration. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the league or ownership of related trademarks.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentive structures and information aggregation methods. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly trade on their beliefs. This can lead to more efficient price discovery in prediction markets, as they benefit from the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbooks may have access to different information or react more quickly to breaking news, creating temporary discrepancies. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge closer to the event date.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team rosters, player injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather forecasts for the match location could also shift the odds. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by social media or expert analysis, could influence trading behavior on Polymarket and Kalshi. Finally, large-volume trades from informed participants could also cause noticeable price movements in this market.