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24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Europe: Teams to Reach the Knockout Stage
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Europe: Teams to Reach the Knockout Stage

Volume:
$11,488

13+ teams

 - Kalshi

13+ teams - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 28, 2026

Closed: Jun 28, 12:57 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

13+ teams

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,791
N/A
N/A
$2,657
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$460
N/A
N/A
$460
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
$455
Settled
Yes
kalshi

11+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
$367
Settled
Yes
kalshi

1+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
Yes
kalshi

2+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
Yes
kalshi

3+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
$355
Settled
Yes
kalshi

9+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$265
N/A
N/A
$265
Settled
Yes
kalshi

6+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$255
N/A
N/A
$255
Settled
Yes
kalshi

10+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
Yes
kalshi

12+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$191
N/A
N/A
$191
Settled
Yes
kalshi

7+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

8+ teams

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
$155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

14+ teams

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,953
N/A
N/A
$714
Settled
No
kalshi

15+ teams

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,132
N/A
N/A
$925
Settled
No
kalshi

16 teams

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
$35
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

European teams will compete in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, with various nations from the continent working to progress from the group stage through to the knockout rounds.

Kalshi

European nations are defined as those competing through UEFA qualification: France, Spain, England, Portugal, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, Belgium, Croatia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Czechia, Switzerland, Türkiye, Sweden, Austria, and Scotland. The markets track how many of these nations reach the knockout stage, with outcomes ranging from at least one team advancing through all sixteen teams advancing.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Europe: Teams to Reach the Knockout Stage event on Kalshi. It displays the current implied probability of each team advancing past the group stage, updated as traders buy and sell shares. The dashboard shows 24-hour volume, historical price movements, and the leading outcome. This single-venue view lets you monitor how market participants are pricing each team's knockout prospects as the tournament approaches.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and media predictions. Markets reflect real-money conviction and aggregate trader beliefs, while analysts rely on statistical models, team strength ratings, and subjective judgment. For Europe: Teams to Reach the Knockout Stage, market prices may move faster than analyst updates when injury news, lineup changes, or recent match results emerge. Comparing the two reveals where consensus is strong versus where disagreement exists about which teams will advance.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each team's knockout qualification is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability traders assign to that outcome. Share prices range from near zero to near one hundred cents, with the midpoint indicating the implied probability. As new information surfaces—team form, injuries, tactical shifts—traders adjust positions, moving prices in real time. The spread between bid and ask reflects liquidity and uncertainty around each team's chances of reaching the knockout round.

The Europe: Teams to Reach the Knockout Stage market resolves on Jun 28, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final group standings and bracket announcements from the tournament organizer. Each team's contract settles based on whether that team qualifies for the knockout stage. Once the group phase concludes and advancement is confirmed, all positions are settled and payouts are distributed accordingly.

Key catalysts include group-stage match results, which directly affect a team's points and qualification odds. Injury announcements to star players can shift perceived strength and market prices. Tactical surprises, unexpected team form changes, and head-to-head outcomes between rivals all influence knockout chances. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and late-tournament momentum swings may also sway trader sentiment. As matches unfold, market prices will adjust continuously, reflecting updated probabilities for each team's advancement.