TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Europa FC and KF Shkëndija 79, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Europa FC" if Europa FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KF Shkëndija 79" if KF Shkëndija 79 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Europa FC and KF Shkëndija 79, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Europa FC" if Europa FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KF Shkëndija 79" if KF Shkëndija 79 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many independent traders with real money at stake. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus is weak. Neither is inherently more accurate, but tracking both helps identify market inefficiencies and shifting expectations around first-goal outcomes.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares tied to each outcome, with the share price reflecting the implied probability of that team scoring first. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market uses an automated market maker mechanism that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. As traders place bets, the price moves to equilibrate supply and demand, creating a continuous price discovery process. This dynamic pricing means odds shift throughout the trading window, allowing you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified against credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal of the match. If no goal is scored before the final whistle, the market may resolve to a no-goal outcome depending on the market's specific rules. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match end, after official confirmation is available.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—can significantly shift first-goal odds, especially for key attacking players. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head records influence trader positioning. Weather conditions and venue factors may also matter. As kickoff approaches, late money flows and sharp bets can create rapid repricing. During the match itself, early possession, shot attempts, and tactical adjustments will drive volatility. Any unexpected developments, such as red cards or tactical shifts, can swing probabilities sharply in real time.