TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 1:30 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Europa FC and KF Shkëndija 79, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79 match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between Europa FC and KF Shkëndija 79, scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Europa FC vs. KF Shkëndija 79 match originally scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin; prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may price the exact scoreline differently than traditional sports betting sites, sometimes offering sharper or more contrarian valuations. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal opportunities where one venue undervalues or overvalues a particular outcome relative to the other.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where buying or selling shares shifts the odds in real time based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each exact scoreline outcome has its own price, and the sum of all outcome probabilities equals 100 percent. As traders accumulate positions in one result—say, a 1–2 finish—that outcome's price rises and others adjust downward. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and trader conviction right up until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match between Europa FC and KF Shkëndija 79 concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular time; the platform will confirm the result and settle all positions accordingly. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, pending confirmation from official match records.
Team news—injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter the probability of specific scorelines. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any external factors affecting either squad's preparation will influence trader positioning. As the match date approaches, updated betting odds from major sportsbooks may trigger repricing on this market. During the game itself, live developments such as early goals, red cards, or momentum swings will cause sharp movements in outcome probabilities. Pre-match press conferences and official team announcements often catalyze trading activity in the hours before kickoff.