TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 5:04 PM EST
Kalshi
Analogous to the third event, this assesses the victory margin of one team over the other within the regulation period. The result depends on whether the winning team's lead surpasses certain goal differences.
Functioning similarly to the third event, this assesses the goal differential during regulation time—90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Markets are structured around specific victory margins: ETO Gyor winning by more than 2.5 goals, ETO Gyor winning by more than 1.5 goals, Riga FC winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Riga FC winning by more than 2.5 goals. A market resolves to Yes if the actual goal difference meets or exceeds its specified margin; otherwise, it resolves to No. The rules also clarify that Kalshi holds no official ties to the league governance, with all trademarks remaining property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread from regulation time will be compared against market predictions to determine which side was priced correctly by traders. No additional time beyond standard match reporting is needed for resolution.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions affecting the match could all shift this market. Additionally, strong pre-match analysis from respected sports journalists or unexpected lineup announcements may cause traders to re-evaluate their positions. Any new information that alters the perceived likelihood of the point differential will likely drive price movement as the event approaches.