TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 2:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Ethiopia and Malawi is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 6, 2026, 12:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 6, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The Ethiopia and Malawi have 3 or more total goals market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. Resolution depends on the final official goal tally from the match between these two teams. The outcome is determined by whether the combined goals scored by both Ethiopia and Malawi reach three or exceed it. Once the match concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles based on that total. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake.
Several factors could shift the probability before Jun 7, 2026. Team news—injuries to key forwards or defensive players—directly impacts scoring potential. Recent form and goal-scoring trends for both Ethiopia and Malawi will influence trader expectations. Lineup announcements and tactical adjustments revealed closer to kickoff often trigger price swings. Head-to-head history and playing style matchups matter; if one team plays defensively while the other is aggressive, traders may lower the over-three-goals probability. Weather conditions and venue details can also affect gameplay pace and scoring likelihood, prompting market repricing as match day approaches.