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OPEN INTEREST:
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399,592
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 8:50 AM EST
Kalshi
The same players face off in the first map of their September 6, 2026, match. The result hinges on which athlete claims the initial map in this competitive series.
This event determines the winner of map 1 in the Hitpoint Masters 2026 League of Legends match between eSuba and Meavedron, scheduled for September 6, 2026, at 8:00 AM EDT. If eSuba wins map 1, that market resolves to Yes; if Meavedron wins map 1, that market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and ensure a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the likelihood of an event. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there's significant public information or a strong consensus forming around a particular outcome. It's common to see this market reflecting information not yet fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can set their own prices, and the market adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism that attempts to reflect all available information and the wisdom of the crowd regarding the eSuba vs. Meavedron match.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of Map 1 in the eSuba vs. Meavedron match. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either eSuba or Meavedron could shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches leading up to this one, or even early performance within Map 1 itself, could also cause significant price movement. Major upsets in related esports events or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in online polls or analyst predictions, might also affect the market.