TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 1:29 PM EST
Kalshi
The Hitpoint Masters 2026 match featuring eSuba against EXILE esports may extend beyond a specific number of maps. The number of maps completed reflects how many segments of gameplay occur before the match concludes.
This event involves two markets centered on the total maps played in the Hitpoint Masters 2026 League of Legends match between eSuba and EXILE esports, scheduled for September 14, 2026, at 10:00 AM EDT. One market resolves to Yes if more than 3.5 maps are played, effectively requiring at least four maps to be finished. The other market resolves to Yes if more than 4.5 maps occur, meaning at least five maps must be completed. Resolution depends exclusively on the total number of maps played in the match, irrespective of match outcomes. Kalshi emphasizes it has no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different kind of information than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, and may be influenced by promotional considerations or attempts to balance their book. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. While there can be alignment, differences often emerge based on the unique information and perspectives held by participants in this market versus those betting on traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different map totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders set the odds by posting bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates as new orders are placed. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches, providing a real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of maps played in the eSuba versus EXILE esports match will be the determining factor. The final result will be sourced from official match results and recognized esports data providers. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the outcome has been verified, allowing for the settlement of all outstanding contracts.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either eSuba or EXILE esports could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map pools or tournament formats could also cause shifts. Furthermore, significant bets from informed traders, or even large volume spikes, can quickly move the market. Monitoring social media and esports news sources for updates related to the teams and the match itself will be crucial for understanding potential catalysts.