TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 11:05 AM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the first map of the eSuba versus EXILE esports League of Legends match in the Hitpoint Masters 2026. The winner of this initial map will determine the resolution, reflecting early momentum in the broader series.
The market resolves based on the winner of map 1 in the Hitpoint Masters 2026: eSuba vs. EXILE esports League of Legends match scheduled for Sep 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the resolution follows the official result from the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of either eSuba or EXILE esports winning Map 1. It’s important to consider both sources of information when forming an opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and express their views, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the implied probability of eSuba winning Map 1, with traders dynamically adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis of the teams’ strengths and weaknesses. This creates a constantly evolving assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of Map 1 in the eSuba versus EXILE esports CS2 match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official match results as reported by the tournament organizers and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment. The market will then be closed and finalized.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either eSuba or EXILE esports could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map vetoes or tournament conditions could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, in-game performance during other matches leading up to this event, or even early performance within Map 1 itself if the match is underway, could influence trading activity. Major upsets in related CS2 events could also sway opinions and affect the price of contracts in this market.