TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Estudiantes de La Plata vs. SC Corinthians Paulista - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

What team will score first?

Volume:
$116,704

Over 1.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$33,228
N/A
N/A
$19,596
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,820
N/A
N/A
$8,587
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Estudiantes de La Plata

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,721
N/A
N/A
$32,968
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,331
N/A
N/A
$11,204
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,069
N/A
N/A
$1,952
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,072
N/A
N/A
$1,062
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SC Corinthians Paulista

0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Estudiantes de La Plata and SC Corinthians Paulista. The markets determine the outcome based on the first goal scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket focuses on *which* team scores first, while Kalshi focuses on *if* goals are scored (total goals).Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket markets for direct exposure to the 'first to score' outcome. Kalshi markets are useful for overall goal expectations, but do not directly answer the primary question.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Directly addresses the 'first to score' question with three possible outcomes: Estudiantes, Corinthians, or Neither. Resolution is based on the first goal scored within 90 minutes + stoppage time. "This market will resolve to 'Estudiantes de La Plata' if Estudiantes de La Plata are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time."
  • Kalshi: Focuses on the total number of goals scored (over/under markets). Does not directly address which team scores first. Resolution is based on whether a certain goal threshold is exceeded within 90 minutes + stoppage time. "If over 0.5 goals are scored...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Estudiantes de La Plata and SC Corinthians Paulista, scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Estudiantes de La Plata" if Estudiantes de La Plata are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Corinthians Paulista" if SC Corinthians Paulista are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game between Estudiantes La Plata and Corinthians, scheduled for Sep 9, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for goals, ranging from over 0.5 to over 5.5 goals. The outcome is determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded from the count. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates data from multiple prediction markets to provide a consensus view of who is most likely to score first in the Estudiantes vs. Corinthians match. Currently, the combined volume across Polymarket and Kalshi is $116,704, with $112,185 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see a broader picture than any single platform offers, helping to understand overall market sentiment. The dashboard tracks probabilities and trading volume to give a comprehensive overview of this market.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed here for the Estudiantes vs. Corinthians match, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. However, both types of odds aim to accurately predict the probability of an event, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.