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406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

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61%

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Estudiantes de La Plata vs. SC Corinthians Paulista
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Estudiantes de La Plata vs SC Corinthians Paulista?

Volume:
$593,421

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 10:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$99,362
N/A
N/A
$60,228
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Estudiantes de La Plata vs. SC Corinthians Paulista)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29,819
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corinthians

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$222,418
N/A
N/A
$141,440
Settled
No
polymarket

SC Corinthians Paulista

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Estudiantes La Plata

View
0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$190,859
N/A
N/A
$106,177
Settled
No
polymarket

Estudiantes de La Plata

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the September 9, 2026 soccer match between Estudiantes de La Plata and SC Corinthians Paulista in the CONMEBOL Libertadores tournament, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 96.5%, as aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. A distant second outcome is Estudiantes de La Plata winning on September 9, 2026, at 2.5%. Resolution will be based on the official result reported at https://conmebollibertadores.com/. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 9, 2026, to see if the game proceeds as scheduled and impacts the likelihood of a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision, potentially leaving markets open or requiring alternative resolution.Hero tip: Factor in the possibility of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers defined downside protection in this scenario, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on win/draw/loss within 90 minutes + stoppage time. Cancellation results in 'No' resolution. Primary source is official statistics, with fallback to Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus reporting. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on win/draw/loss within 90 minutes + stoppage time. No explicit handling of cancellation is provided. Key Quote: "If Tie is the result of the Estudiantes La Plata vs Corinthians professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 9, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 between Estudiantes de La Plata and SC Corinthians Paulista.

Kalshi

This event centers on determining the result of a professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between AC Goianiense and Ceara, scheduled for September 9, 2026. Similar to the previous event, the market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The possible outcomes are AC Goianiense win, Ceara win, or a tie. If the match concludes in a tie during regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In cases where the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price as per the rules. The event considers only the regular-time result and maintains no official connection to the governing league or its intellectual properties.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi, to provide a consensus view on the outcome of the Estudiantes vs. Corinthians match. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $593,421, with $548,265 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a broader understanding of expectations than looking at any single market in isolation. The dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes as expressed by traders on these platforms, offering a dynamic assessment of who is favored to win this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those reflected in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, leading to a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. This can result in prediction markets offering more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may react faster to breaking news, and their odds can be more readily influenced by public betting patterns, creating temporary discrepancies.