This event group covers a professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer match between Estudiantes de La Plata and Cusco FC scheduled for April 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with consistent resolution logic tied to official governing body statistics.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time), identical primary sources (official CONMEBOL/organizer statistics with credible reporting fallback), and identical postponement handling; only minor variation exists in cancellation treatment for draw markets.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from CONMEBOL or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, consensus of credible reporting sources
Core resolution logic:
Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
Estudiantes de La Plata win market resolves Yes if Estudiantes wins, No otherwise
Cusco FC win market resolves Yes if Cusco wins, No otherwise
Draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
If match is canceled with no makeup game: Polymarket win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi treats all outcomes as potential resolutions pending official cancellation confirmation
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed; no automatic resolution occurs
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket: win markets resolve No, draw market resolves Yes. Kalshi: all three outcome markets (Estudiantes win, Cusco win, Tie) resolve Yes if the cancellation is official
Source Delay: If official CONMEBOL/organizer statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus (news outlets, sports data providers) becomes the authoritative resolution source
Extra Time or Penalties: Resolution is based solely on the 90-minute regular play plus stoppage time result; any outcome determined in extra time or penalty shootouts is disregarded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official statistics are expected within 2 hours; if delayed, credible reporting consensus is used immediately thereafter.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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