TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 6:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This group of markets focuses on predicting the exact final score of the Primera División Argentina soccer match between Estudiantes de La Plata and CSyD Defensa y Justicia scheduled for August 1, 2026. The markets cover various possible scorelines, with an 'Any Other Score' outcome as a catch-all for scores not explicitly listed.
In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between Estudiantes de La Plata and CSyD Defensa y Justicia, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia match originally scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the Estudiantes La Plata versus Defensa y Justicia match scheduled for August 1, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the total goals exceed its respective threshold. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing body is the Argentina Primera Division, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league. Trademarks and brand names remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on this market often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the decentralized consensus of individual traders rather than set odds from a bookmaker. While sportsbooks may offer a range of possible scores at fixed prices, prediction markets let participants bet on any exact scoreline, with prices that can shift rapidly based on new information, trading volume, and public sentiment surrounding the teams.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts different user bases and has its own liquidity conditions. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might see heavier trading on a particular scoreline due to regional fan interest or recent news about the teams, pushing its implied probability higher or lower compared to the other. These dynamics create price differences that arbitrageurs may exploit.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form for either team can all shift this market as the match approaches. Weather conditions on the day of the game, disciplinary actions such as suspensions, and even early pre-match betting trends on either platform can cause rapid price adjustments, especially if volume spikes around any surprising news.