TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 2:39 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the likelihood of CA Newell's Old Boys covering a -1.5 spread against Estudiantes de La Plata on Polymarket, with the current probability set at 73.0%. The resolution will be based on official results from the Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The outcome will be determined following the match scheduled for August 31 at 6:00 PM ET, which marks the end of the betting period.
More markets for the Primera División Argentina game, scheduled for August 31 at 6:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect aggregated trader sentiment rather than set broker margins. In this market, the probability implied by trader bets can appear more volatile or skewed toward recent performance trends compared to sportsbook odds, which typically include a built-in house edge. Traders may find value when there’s a noticeable gap between the two, especially if recent news or form suggests a shift not yet priced into sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on official match records and widely accepted sports data sources, ensuring an unbiased, transparent resolution that matches what fans and analysts see reported globally.
Injuries to key players, coaching changes, or weather disruptions could shift trader sentiment and move this market significantly before Aug 31, 2026. Additionally, strong recent form or controversial referee decisions may cause rapid price swings, especially if new information emerges that changes perceptions of likely outcomes. Any major pre-match news will likely trigger volume spikes and price adjustments on Polymarket.