TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Argentina Primera Division soccer match between Estudiantes de La Plata and CA Lanús scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, covering three mutually exclusive outcomes: Estudiantes win, Lanús win, or draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical resolution criteria: the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
AFA (Asociación del Fútbol Argentino) - https://www.afa.com.ar/Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined by the official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Estudiantes de La Plata wins, CA Lanús wins, or draw
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, the draw outcome resolves Yes and win outcomes resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on its rescheduled date
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game, Polymarket resolves the draw market to Yes and both win markets to No; Kalshi resolves based on the counterfactual outcome
- Scope of Play: Resolution covers only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time), or if postponed, after the rescheduled match is completedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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