TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ESTRUS: First Week Album Equivalent Units
kalshi

ESTRUS: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Volume:
$16,555

Above 5K

 - Kalshi

Above 5K - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 27, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5K

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,973
N/A
N/A
$2,092
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7K

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,857
N/A
N/A
$1,468
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 10K

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,130
N/A
N/A
$1,401
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 12K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$989
N/A
N/A
$764
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 15K

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$606
N/A
N/A
$588
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the album ESTRUS by Tove Lo's performance in terms of album equivalent units in the U.S. during its first week of release, from September 18 to September 24, 2026. The result hinges on whether the album equivalent units surpass certain benchmarks.

Kalshi

The event assesses whether Tove Lo's album ESTRUS reaches specified album equivalent unit thresholds (above 5K, 7K, 10K, 12K, and 15K) in the U.S. during the tracking week of September 18–24, 2026. Resolution for all markets depends on data from Luminate’s API, reported at 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday after the tracking week. Luminate acts as a neutral metrics provider with no involvement in market outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official first-week album equivalent unit figures are reported by credible industry sources. The final number is verified against publicly released data from recognized music charting organizations, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Key signals that could shift odds in this market include major social media announcements, streaming platform pre-order numbers, celebrity endorsements, controversial publicity stunts, or early review aggregates. Any unexpected change in the artist’s availability, tour announcements, or distribution partnerships could also cause rapid price movements as traders reassess the album’s commercial prospects.