TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a soccer match between two teams in a national league. The focus is on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The outcome depends solely on the scoring activity within the standard match duration.
If Estoril and Famalicao both score a goal in the Estoril vs Famalicao Liga Portugal match originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $25,662, while sportsbooks set their lines using statistical models and risk management. The two can diverge significantly; for example, if recent team performance shifts trader sentiment, this market might price a higher probability of both teams scoring than sportsbooks do. Traders often see prediction markets as more responsive to breaking news and fan engagement trends.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting aggregated expectations about whether both teams will find the net. The market’s price dynamics respond quickly to new data, such as player injuries or tactical shifts, allowing for fine-tuned probability assessments.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination hinges on whether both Estoril and Famalicao score at least one goal each during the regulated 90 minutes of play.
Between now and Aug 7, 2026, several factors could shift this market. Key matches involving either team, especially recent performances or injuries to top scorers, may alter trader expectations about scoring likelihood. Midweek cup ties or friendly matches offering additional gameplay data can also influence odds. Media narratives around team confidence or tactical changes may impact sentiment, as can weather forecasts for the match day. Any surprise lineup announcements or tactical shifts disclosed by coaches in the lead-up could cause rapid price movements.