TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Estoril Praia vs. FC Famalicão
Volume:
$111,151
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, April 26, 2026 between Estoril Praia and FC Famalicão.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic (Draw resolves YES on cancellation, while Win markets resolve NO), whereas Kalshi uses a single ternary market with no explicit cancellation clause. This creates settlement risk if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero Tip:
The Polymarket Draw market is a hidden cancellation hedge - it pays out if the match is canceled. Traders should monitor Liga Portugal's official cancellation policy and cross-check both platforms' settlement announcements before the April 26, 2026 event. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket Draw traders win while Estoril/Famalicão traders lose; Kalshi's outcome is undefined.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Estoril Win, Draw, Famalicão Win). Cancellation with no make-up game: Estoril and Famalicão markets resolve NO; Draw market resolves YES. Resolution source: Official Liga Portugal statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Single ternary market with three YES-resolving conditions (Estoril wins, Tie occurs, Famalicão wins). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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