TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Tie
all
3 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
Limitless
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 7, 2026
Closed: Sep 7, 5:32 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the outcome of the September 7, 2026 soccer match between Estoril Praia and FC Arouca, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, aggregating views from Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi. The resolution source for this market will be official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting if necessary. With the match scheduled for September 7, 2026, keep a close watch on the official team lineups released shortly before kickoff to assess potential impacts on the likelihood of a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms agree on resolving based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with specific handling for cancellations and postponements.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting if necessaryCore resolution logic:
- Resolve based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
- Exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from consideration
- Postponed matches remain open until completed
- Canceled matches with no makeup resolve as No for win markets and Yes for draw markets on Polymarket; Limitless resolves based on any official final result if recognized
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Canceled Match: Polymarket resolves No for win markets and Yes for draw markets if canceled with no makeup; Limitless resolves based on any official final result recognized by governing bodies
- Postponement: All markets remain open until the match is completed
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Monday, September 7, 2026 between Estoril Praia and FC Arouca.
Kalshi
The event resolves based on the result of the Estoril vs Arouca professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for September 7, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Estoril win, Arouca win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a clear victory for either team within regulation time, the respective market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match end in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time.
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for September 7, 2026, 19:15 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
