TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Estoril Praia vs. Casa Pia AC
Volume:
$156,934
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between Estoril Praia and Casa Pia AC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the final outcome (win, loss, or draw) after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms apply identical resolution logic: match outcome determined by official Liga Portugal records after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Liga Portugal statistics published at ligaportugal.pt; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Match resolves based on final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Estoril Praia win, Casa Pia AC win, or draw
- Polymarket draw market resolves Yes if match ends in draw, No otherwise
- Polymarket Estoril win market resolves Yes if Estoril wins, No otherwise
- Polymarket Casa Pia win market resolves Yes if Casa Pia wins, No otherwise
- Kalshi markets resolve Yes for any outcome (Estoril win, Casa Pia win, or draw) as they are outcome-specific contracts
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until match completion
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: draw markets resolve Yes, win markets resolve No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket draw market resolves Yes, and both win markets resolve No. Kalshi markets would similarly resolve based on their outcome specifications
- Source Fallback: If Liga Portugal does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus from credible sports reporting sources
- Scope Limitation: Resolution covers only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; any outcome determined by extra time or penalty shootout is excluded from scope
Timing:
Resolution occurs after match conclusion and official Liga Portugal statistics publication, or within 2 hours post-match if official statistics unavailable (using credible reporting consensus)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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