TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 6:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Luciano Darderi at the Estoril Open will last more than 2.5 sets. On Polymarket, the current probability for the leading outcome stands at 100%. The result will be determined by official ATP Tour match records at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The match is scheduled to conclude by August 1, 2026, and any developments there will be the key signal to watch for resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Luciano Darderi in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Blockx' if Alexander Blockx advances against Luciano Darderi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Darderi' if Luciano Darderi advances against Alexander Blockx. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes in form or performance leading up to the match, weather conditions affecting play, and strategic adjustments by coaches. Any news from reliable sources or updates from tournament officials may cause traders on Polymarket to reassess probabilities, influencing both the top outcome chance and overall volume as the event approaches.