TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 2:34 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Essendon Bombers and West Coast Eagles, scheduled for September 24 at 10:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "West Coast Eagles" if West Coast Eagles is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Essendon Bombers and West Coast Eagles, scheduled for September 24 at 10:05PM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "West Coast Eagles" if West Coast Eagles is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, the prediction market may show a different probability. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Essendon Bombers versus West Coast Eagles AFL match will determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official game results to determine the final settlement, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Essendon Bombers or the West Coast Eagles would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Major news stories or public statements related to the teams or the AFL in general could also move the market. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely be reflected in trading activity.