TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 2:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored during the regulation time of a soccer match between Ermesinde SC 1936 and Uniao SC Paredes. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard 90-minute playtime, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event determines whether the total goals scored by both Ermesinde SC 1936 and Uniao SC Paredes during the regulation time of their Taca de Portugal match exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). Regulation time consists of the initial 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes extra time and penalty phases. If the cumulative goals meet or surpass any of the defined thresholds for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets are independent, each applying its own threshold criteria to the same underlying match data. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect the collective wisdom of traders who actively buy and sell contracts based on their expectations for the match outcome, while sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers considering a broader range of factors, including historical performance and public betting trends. In this market, prediction odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in participant behavior and information availability.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent different possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders for each outcome, with market depth and recent trades influencing price movements. As the event approaches, any new information about team form, injuries, or weather conditions can cause rapid adjustments in these prices.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of goals scored during regulation time will determine which outcome is settled, based on official match results and widely accepted sports data sources.
Key signals such as player injuries, changes to team lineups, weather forecasts, or recent performance in preceding matches could shift expectations and move this market. Any unexpected developments — for example, a star player being ruled out or a tactical change by the coaching staff — may cause traders to reassess probabilities, leading to noticeable price changes as the event draws nearer.