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EPL: Managers out before Aug 1, 2026
kalshi

EPL: Managers out before Aug 1, 2026

Volume:
$139,712

Pep Guardiola

 - Kalshi

Pep Guardiola - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: May 30, 11:57 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pep Guardiola

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$34,967
N/A
N/A
$18,168
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arne Slot

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28,757
N/A
N/A
$11,082
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Eddie Howe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,255
N/A
N/A
$6,863
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marco Silva

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,289
N/A
N/A
$3,967
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Rob Edwards

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,396
N/A
N/A
$8,075
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vitor Pereira

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,811
N/A
N/A
$1,992
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Andoni Iraola

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,557
N/A
N/A
$2,169
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oliver Glasner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$517
N/A
N/A
$517
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Nuno Espirito Santo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,148
N/A
N/A
$2,233
Settled
No
kalshi

Liam Rosenior

View
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
$7,939
N/A
N/A
$4,446
Settled
No
kalshi

Roberto De Zerbi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,816
N/A
N/A
$2,963
Settled
No
kalshi

Unai Emery

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,064
N/A
N/A
$2,095
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott Parker

View
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
$2,986
N/A
N/A
$1,742
Settled
No
kalshi

Mikel Arteta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,544
N/A
N/A
$1,342
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Farke

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,413
N/A
N/A
$1,273
Settled
No
kalshi

Fabian Hurzeler

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,383
N/A
N/A
$1,378
Settled
No
kalshi

Regis Le Bris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$471
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
No
kalshi

David Moyes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
$280
Settled
No
kalshi

Keith Andrews

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 19

Intro

This market tracks whether Pep Guardiola will step down as Manchester City manager before August 1, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution is determined by official Premier League records and managerial appointment announcements. Watch for any official statements from Manchester City or the Premier League regarding managerial changes in the lead-up to the August 1, 2026 deadline.

Kalshi

If Mikel Arteta ceases to be the manager of Arsenal starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Unai Emery ceases to be the manager of Aston Villa starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andoni Iraola ceases to be the manager of Bournemouth starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keith Andrews ceases to be the manager of Brentford starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fabian Hurzeler ceases to be the manager of Brighton starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Parker ceases to be the manager of Burnley starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Liam Rosenior ceases to be the manager of Chelsea starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oliver Glasner ceases to be the manager of Crystal Palace starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Moyes ceases to be the manager of Everton starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marco Silva ceases to be the manager of Fulham starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Farke ceases to be the manager of Leeds starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arne Slot ceases to be the manager of Liverpool starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pep Guardiola ceases to be the manager of Manchester City starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Eddie Howe ceases to be the manager of Newcastle starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vitor Pereira ceases to be the manager of Nottingham Forest starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Regis Le Bris ceases to be the manager of Sunderland starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Roberto De Zerbi ceases to be the manager of Tottenham starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nuno Espirito Santo ceases to be the manager of West Ham starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rob Edwards ceases to be the manager of Wolves starting Apr 16, 2026 and before Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity on Kalshi for the EPL: Managers out before Aug 1, 2026 event. It displays current market prices reflecting the probability that one or more Premier League managers will depart their posts before Aug 1, 2026. The interface shows 24-hour volume of $1,885 and cumulative group volume of $128,788, giving you visibility into market depth and recent trader interest. Price history charts help you spot trends and reversals as new information emerges about managerial stability across the league.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect crowdsourced probability estimates from thousands of traders with real money at stake, whereas traditional sportsbooks set odds primarily to balance liability and extract margin. Prediction markets often respond faster to breaking news—such as managerial performance crises or contract disputes—because traders profit immediately from accurate pricing. Sportsbooks, by contrast, may lag or shade odds conservatively. Comparing Kalshi prices to major sportsbook lines can reveal where public sentiment diverges from bookmaker positioning on which EPL managers face the highest departure risk before Aug 1, 2026.

The market resolves on Aug 1, 2026, at which point all trading ceases and outcomes are finalized. Resolution hinges on official confirmation of managerial status at Premier League clubs as of that date. Any manager who has left their post—whether through resignation, dismissal, mutual consent, or other departure—before the deadline triggers a YES resolution for that outcome. The event captures the full window of potential turnover across the entire league, making it sensitive to mid-season upheaval, end-of-season transitions, and any unexpected exits in the months leading up to the deadline.

Poor league performance, relegation battles, or public criticism of individual managers can accelerate departure odds. Contract disputes, managerial interest from rival clubs, or high-profile player departures may signal instability. Conversely, strong results, trophy wins, or contract extensions reduce turnover risk. Unexpected injuries to key players, board-level changes, or ownership shifts can reshape expectations. Media reports of managerial unrest, fan pressure campaigns, or rival clubs' formal approaches also move prices. Seasonal inflection points—such as January transfer windows or end-of-season reviews—historically concentrate managerial changes, making them critical catalysts before Aug 1, 2026.