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EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?
polymarket

EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?

Sep 9, 2026, 11:53 AM EST - May 30, 2027, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$332
Volume 24h:
$48N/A
Liquidity:
$89
3%
Open interest:
$269N/A

Michael Carrick

 - Polymarket

Michael Carrick - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves May 30, 2027

Will Michael Carrick be the first Premier League manager sacked in 2026-27?

25%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 25% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 2% Low liquidity 218 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Michael Carrick

Trade
25%
Yes 99¢No 95¢
94¢
$3
$33
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Marco Rose

Trade
6%
Yes 99.6¢No 99.8¢
99.4¢
$3
$19
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Matthias Jaissle

Trade
1%
Yes 99.6¢No 99.8¢
99.4¢
$3
$23
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

David Moyes

Trade
100%
Yes 99.8¢No 99.9¢
99.7¢
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Frank Lampard

Trade
100%
Yes 99.7¢No 99.8¢
99.5¢
$3
$15
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Fabian Hurzeler

Trade
100%
Yes 99.6¢No 99.9¢
99.5¢
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Keith Andrews

Trade
100%
Yes 99.6¢No 99.9¢
99.5¢
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Gary O'Neil

Trade
100%
Yes 99.6¢No 99.9¢
99.5¢
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Daniel Farke

Trade
100%
Yes 99.6¢No 99.9¢
99.5¢
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Mikel Arteta

Trade
100%
Yes 99.5¢No 99.9¢
99.4¢
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Andoni Iraola

Trade
100%
Yes 99.5¢No 99.9¢
99.4¢
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Pierre Sage

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Oliver Glasner

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Sergej Jakirovic

Trade
96%
Yes 96¢No 52¢
—
$2
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Xabi Alonso

Trade
90%
Yes 90¢No 55¢
—
$16
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Enzo Maresca

Trade
90%
Yes 90¢No 55¢
—
$4
$8
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Alvaro Arbeloa

Trade
25%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
$35
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Regis Le Bris

Trade
24%
Yes 24¢No 99.8¢
23.8¢
$34
$48
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Unai Emery

Trade
24%
Yes 98¢No 51¢
—
$2
$39
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
polymarket

Roberto De Zerbi

Trade
5%
Yes 99¢No 50.5¢
—
$2
$24
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 1w 1d
active
Total markets: 20

Description

This market will resolve according to which English Premier League manager is fired first during the 2026-27 season. If the listed manager is the first manager to be officially fired, dismissed, or sacked by their respective Premier League club during the 2026-27 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If multiple managers are fired on the same calendar day, resolution will be based on the earliest official announcement time. If a manager resigns, mutually agrees to part ways, or departs for another job, this will not count as being fired, and that will not qualify as "Yes" for this market. If no Premier League managers are fired by May 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official club announcements or official Premier League communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to which English Premier League manager is fired first during the 2026-27 season. If the listed manager is the first manager to be officially fired, dismissed, or sacked by their respective Premier League club during the 2026-27 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If multiple managers are fired on the same calendar day, resolution will be based on the earliest official announcement time. If a manager resigns, mutually agrees to part ways, or departs for another job, this will not count as being fired, and that will not qualify as "Yes" for this market. If no Premier League managers are fired by May 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official club announcements or official Premier League communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Typically, prediction markets like this one can offer different insights than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. We often see that prediction market probabilities are more responsive to breaking news and subtle shifts in sentiment, potentially offering a more real-time assessment of the likelihood of a manager being sacked compared to fixed sportsbook lines. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes provide a useful benchmark for understanding public perception.

On Polymarket, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each manager being the first sacked. As more people buy shares in a particular manager, the price of those shares increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants.

This market resolves around May 31, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on which Premier League manager is officially announced as having been sacked first during the 2026-27 season. Interim or caretaker appointments do not count towards resolution; it must be a permanent managerial change. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be assessed based on widely accepted news sources covering the English Premier League.

Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Poor team performance, particularly a prolonged losing streak, is a major catalyst. Unexpected injuries to key players could also increase the pressure on a manager. Public criticism from club owners or board members, or reports of dressing room unrest, are other potential drivers. Additionally, managerial signings by rival clubs could raise speculation about potential replacements, influencing trading activity. Any news related to a manager's job security will likely be reflected in the prices on Polymarket.