TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 3:52 PM EST
Kalshi
Enschede and Ferencvarosi compete in a Europa League soccer match scheduled for July 23, 2026. The outcome is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
Resolution is based on the final result of the Enschede vs Ferencvarosi Europa League match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match outcome resolves to one of three mutually exclusive results: a win for Enschede, a win for Ferencvarosi, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show materially different implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially as new team news, injuries, or lineup changes surface. Comparing the two can highlight where public perception and market pricing diverge most sharply.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the likelihood of that result, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new information arrives or trader conviction shifts, the bid-ask spread and midpoint adjust in real time, ensuring the market stays responsive to changing expectations about the match.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Enschede vs Ferencvaros match concludes and the final result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins during regulation time only; extra time or penalty shootouts do not affect the settlement. Traders holding shares in the winning team's outcome will receive the full payout, while losing shares expire worthless.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts disclosed by either manager. Weather conditions on match day, venue factors, and late-breaking updates in the hours before kickoff can all shift trader positioning. Additionally, any changes to competition rules or match scheduling would prompt repricing. As the event date nears, accumulating bets and shifting public sentiment typically increase volatility in this market.