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406,019

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England vs. Spain - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of England vs. Spain?

Volume:
$2,681,318

O/U 3.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 6:51 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$301,217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$281,012
N/A
N/A
$131,371
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$243,287
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$211,275
N/A
N/A
$125,316
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$216,093
N/A
N/A
$113,604
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$63,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$158,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$83,676
N/A
N/A
$57,391
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$83,448
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$62,899
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,083
N/A
N/A
$35,176
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$29,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain O/U 1.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,242
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,606
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain O/U 2.5

View
100%
80%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

England O/U 1.5

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain O/U 0.5

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

England O/U 0.5

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score in First Half

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

England 1st Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

England 1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 68

Intro

This market tracks the total goals scored in the England vs. Spain UEFA Nations League game, specifically whether the over/under will exceed 3.5 goals. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi and Polymarket is 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official results reported on https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Traders should watch the kickoff on September 26, 2026, as this date marks the end of the betting period and the conclusion of the match to determine settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The over/under goal markets have differing thresholds available on Polymarket and Kalshi, creating SKU risk.Hero tip: Focus on comparing markets with common thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5) to avoid confusion and potential misinterpretations.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers a comprehensive suite of over/under goal markets ranging from 0.5 to 8.5, providing granular prediction options. Resolution relies on official scores from uefa.com, with fallbacks to Flashscore and Sofascore.
  • Kalshi: Provides over/under goal markets with thresholds up to 6.5. Resolution is based on the official score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 26 at 2:45 PM ET.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on whether the total goals scored by both England and Spain in the professional UEFA Nations League soccer game scheduled for September 26, 2026, exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The resolution occurs after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalty kicks excluded from the goal count. All markets share the same event context and timing, differing only in the goal threshold required for a 'Yes' outcome. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On PredictionHero, this dashboard aggregates forecasts for the England vs. Spain match from multiple prediction markets, including Polymarket and Kalshi. It provides a consensus view of potential outcomes, displaying current probabilities and trading volume. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $2,681,318, with $2,590,817 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see where the smart money is going and compare predictions across different venues. The dashboard aims to provide a comprehensive overview of expectations for this highly anticipated sporting event.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting their own capital. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may more accurately represent the true probabilities of various outcomes. However, both offer valuable insights. For this market, comparing the implied probabilities from Polymarket and Kalshi with traditional sportsbooks can reveal differences in how each assesses the likelihood of different results in the England vs. Spain match.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading mechanisms also differ; Polymarket may have different liquidity or fee structures than Kalshi. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Spread: England (-5.5) at 99.7, while Kalshi leans toward Will over 0.5 goals be scored? at n/a. These differences in participation and market design contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both are attempting to forecast the same event.