TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England score more goals than DR Congo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if England and DR Congo score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "DR Congo" if DR Congo score more goals than England in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England score more goals than DR Congo in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if England and DR Congo score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "DR Congo" if DR Congo score more goals than England in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and generate profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly if professional traders on Polymarket hold different views than sportsbook oddsmakers. Comparing the two can reveal where market consensus differs from bookmaker pricing, though both respond dynamically to new information about team form and injury status.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling shares moves the odds in real time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—England win, draw, or DR Congo win—has its own share price, and the sum of all outcome probabilities equals 100 percent. As traders place orders, the price adjusts to reflect new information and shifting sentiment. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to breaking news, team announcements, or betting flow from other venues.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the second half of the England vs. DR Congo match concludes and the final result is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources covering the event. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect predictions result in a loss. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window, though standard football matches proceed as scheduled.
Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff—can shift odds significantly. First-half performance is a major catalyst; if England dominates the opening 45 minutes, traders may increase their bets on an England second-half win. Conversely, an unexpected DR Congo goal or England falling behind could trigger sharp repricing. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late tactical adjustments also influence trader sentiment. As the match progresses, real-time goals and momentum swings will drive continuous price movement until the final whistle.