TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 1, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group tracks the total goals scored and point spread across multiple markets for the FIFA World Cup match between England and DR Congo. Aggregating data from Polymarket and Predict, the consensus probability for Over/Under 2.5 goals stands at 99.0%, while the England spread of -5.5 goals shows 1.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by the official final score published on fifa.com as recognized by FIFA. Watch for the match kickoff on July 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, when the 90-minute regulation period begins.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET.
Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer pricing, where traders themselves set odds through supply and demand rather than a fixed sportsbook margin. This often produces sharper, more reactive lines—especially on niche outcomes or live-updating scenarios—because traders profit directly from accuracy. Traditional sportsbooks build in a margin and may move more slowly. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market liquidity and sportsbook depth vary by outcome.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader bases, fee structures, and user interfaces, which can create temporary price gaps on the same underlying event. Polymarket and Predict may also differ in how they frame goal thresholds or handle partial fills, leading to slight odds divergence. Arbitrage traders often exploit these spreads, but friction costs—withdrawal delays, platform fees, or liquidity constraints—can prevent instant convergence. Monitoring both venues helps you identify mispricings and choose the best entry point for your position.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players—can shift goal expectations significantly. Lineup announcements and pre-match tactical briefings often trigger repricing as traders adjust for attacking or defensive setups. Live action during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will cause sharp moves in real time. Broader context like recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions at kickoff can also influence trader sentiment before the whistle, so monitor official team communications and sports media closely.