TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the combined goal output from both England and Croatia during the second half of their FIFA World Cup match on June 17, 2026, with separate outcomes for different goal thresholds.
Resolution depends on the total number of goals scored by both England and Croatia combined during the second half of their match. The event includes multiple threshold outcomes: one resolves Yes if more than 0.5 goals are scored, another if more than 1.5 goals are scored, another if more than 2.5 goals are scored, and another if more than 3.5 goals are scored. Only goals scored during the second half count toward this market. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds reflect real-time consensus from traders actively risking capital, which often differs from traditional analyst forecasts. While sports analysts may rely on historical statistics, team form, and expert judgment, this market aggregates the collective intelligence of participants who have financial incentive to predict accurately. Prediction markets tend to incorporate breaking news and shifting sentiment faster than published forecasts, making them a dynamic alternative to static pre-match analysis. Comparing the two can reveal where market participants see value or disagreement relative to conventional expert opinion on the second-half outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcome ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the balance of supply and demand; as more traders bet on a particular second-half total, that outcome's price typically rises, and vice versa. You can place limit or market orders to enter or exit positions, with the platform matching buyers and sellers in real time. This transparent pricing model ensures that odds adjust dynamically based on actual trading activity rather than a fixed algorithm.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the England vs Croatia match concludes and the second-half total is finalized. The outcome is determined by the verified goal count during the second half of the match, confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports data providers. Resolution occurs after the final whistle and any necessary verification to ensure accuracy. Traders holding positions will see their outcomes settled based on the actual second-half scoring total from the completed fixture.
Several factors could shift odds before Jun 18, 2026. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—often triggers significant price movement. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any pre-match statements from managers can influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions or venue-specific factors may also affect scoring expectations. As the match approaches, late-breaking developments like unexpected absences or lineup surprises typically cause sharp repricing. During the first half itself, early goals or defensive performances can reshape expectations for second-half scoring, driving active trading and volatility in this market.