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England vs. Croatia - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

England vs. Croatia - First Team to Score

Volume:
$357,089

England

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 17, 2026

Closed: Jun 17, 4:21 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

England

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$91,818
N/A
N/A
$70,051
Settled
Yes
polymarket

England

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,637
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Croatia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120,367
N/A
N/A
$101,388
Settled
No
polymarket

Croatia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,031
N/A
N/A
$58,527
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

In the upcoming match between England and Croatia, scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time window scope divergence: Polymarket limits resolution to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, while Kalshi includes the entire game including extra time periods. This creates different resolution outcomes if a goal is scored in extra time.Hero tip: Traders must distinguish between 90+stoppage-minute markets (Polymarket) and full-match markets (Kalshi). If you expect extra time, Polymarket's 'Neither' outcome becomes more likely. Kalshi's broader scope means extra-time goals will resolve to the scoring team. Align your position with the specific time window you intend to trade.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves on first goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs explicitly excluded. Offers three outcomes: England, Croatia, or Neither. Key Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.'
  • Kalshi: Resolves on first goal during entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. Appears to offer three binary outcomes (England Yes/No, Croatia Yes/No, Neither Yes/No). Key Quote: 'If England records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods)...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between England and Croatia, scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by which team records the first goal during the entire match, including regulation, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If England scores first, the England market resolves to Yes. If Croatia scores first, the Croatia market resolves to Yes. If no goal is scored throughout the entire match, the No Goal market resolves to Yes. Own goals are credited to the team awarded the goal.

Frequently asked questions

The England vs. Croatia - First Team to Score dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Polymarket and Kalshi, two leading decentralized prediction markets. It displays the consensus probability that England will score first in this matchup, alongside live volume and price movements on each platform. By tracking both venues simultaneously, the dashboard reveals which team traders favor and how conviction shifts as match day approaches. This cross-platform view helps bettors identify consensus views and spot divergences between market participants.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi often reflect different trader compositions and incentive structures than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks employ professional oddsmakers and adjust lines for liability management, prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs in real time. For England vs. Croatia - First Team to Score, market odds may diverge from sportsbook lines due to differences in liquidity, trader sophistication, and risk appetite. Comparing both sources helps identify value and understand how professional and crowd-sourced forecasting differ on this specific matchup.

Key catalysts include team news such as injury announcements to star forwards or defensive players, official lineup confirmations, and pre-match analysis from credible sources. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move odds in the days before kickoff. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates can shift trader sentiment. As match day approaches, social media momentum and expert predictions may influence retail participation. Live odds typically tighten closer to kickoff as information asymmetry decreases and the true probability becomes clearer.