TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 8:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if England wins by 2 or more goals against Norway during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 11, 2026, 21:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if England wins by 2 or more goals against Norway during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 11, 2026, 21:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 11, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. For this market, prediction traders may price England's chances of a 2+ goal victory differently than traditional bookmakers, especially as new information emerges. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue sees value the other may have missed, though prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information efficiently over time.
On Limitless, traders set prices through a continuous order-book mechanism where buy and sell orders meet to establish the current odds. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the marginal trader's willingness to bet on England winning by 2 or more goals at that exact moment. As new information arrives—team news, betting trends, or analyst commentary—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to changing conditions throughout the lead-up to kickoff.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the England vs Norway match concludes and the final goal margin is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official match result, verified against credible public sources. If England wins by exactly 2 goals or more, the 'Yes' outcome prevails; any other result—a draw, England loss, or a 1-goal England win—resolves to 'No'. Traders holding positions will see their contracts settle based on the verified final scoreline.
Several factors can shift this market before kickoff. Team news—injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp price moves. Betting syndicates and professional traders may also signal their views through large orders, influencing retail sentiment. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and media coverage of form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can sway trader positioning. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking injury updates closer to match day typically generate the most volatile trading activity as the market reprices toward its final settlement.