TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the cricket match between England Lions and Sri Lanka scheduled for September 11 2026 at 1:30 PM ET in England Lions and Sri Lanka T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the cricket match between England Lions and Sri Lanka scheduled for September 11 2026 at 1:30 PM ET in England Lions and Sri Lanka T20s. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the most likely outcome. If prediction market participants strongly disagree with a sportsbook’s assessment, the odds here will diverge accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when there’s significant public interest and informed trading activity. This is because traders are directly incentivized to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a specific outcome. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to reflect the collective sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring; a share priced at 60 means there’s a 60% implied probability of that outcome being correct. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the England Lions vs Sri Lanka T20 series, specifically which team wins. The market will determine the winning outcome based on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in weather conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in earlier matches within the series will also be a key driver of price movement. Furthermore, expert analysis and public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can all contribute to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on shifts in market sentiment.