TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

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30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Empoli FC vs. SS Arezzo
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Empoli FC vs. SS Arezzo?

Volume:
$380,979

Arezzo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 11, 2026

Closed: Sep 11, 3:14 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Arezzo

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$103,249
N/A
N/A
$41,014
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SS Arezzo

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$37,592
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Empoli

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$103,838
N/A
N/A
$69,072
Settled
No
polymarket

Empoli FC

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$66,253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,769
N/A
N/A
$33,889
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Empoli FC vs. SS Arezzo)

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Serie B soccer match between Empoli FC and SS Arezzo on September 11, 2026, specifically forecasting whether Empoli will win, Arezzo will win, or the game will end in a draw. Currently, the consensus probability of SS Arezzo winning is 100.0%, while Empoli FC winning is estimated at 0.1%. This aggregate view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution determined by the official results reported at https://www.legaserieb.it/. Keep an eye on the official kickoff time on September 11, 2026, as confirmation of the match proceeding will be a key signal for market closure.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi lacks this provision, implying a resolution only occurs if the game is played.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket's explicit rule may offer a slight advantage if cancellation is anticipated.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses a hierarchy of official sources, then Flashscore/Sofascore, then consensus reporting for resolution data. Key Quote: "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Implies a resolution only occurs if the game is completed within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation handling. Key Quote: "If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Serie B game, scheduled for Friday, September 11, 2026 between Empoli FC and SS Arezzo.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Empoli vs Arezzo professional Serie B soccer match scheduled for September 11, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootouts. If Empoli wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Empoli' market resolves to Yes. If Arezzo wins under the same conditions, the 'Arezzo' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after standard match time.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. Prediction markets, however, allow anyone to trade, and prices are driven purely by supply and demand. This can lead to more accurate predictions, especially when a large and diverse group participates. The difference between prediction market prices and sportsbook lines can also highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Empoli vs. Arezzo match can occur for several reasons. Differences in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies all contribute to price variations. Polymarket may attract a different demographic of traders with varying risk appetites compared to Kalshi, leading to differing assessments of the probabilities. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. These factors create independent price signals, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.