TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise”
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 7, 2026
Closed: Sep 6, 11:29 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This event group tracks the 2026 Emmy Awards for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series, focusing on specific nominees from various drama series. The outcome will be determined by the official winner announced at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the same criteria: the official winner of the Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, with tie-breaker rules and no-winner scenarios handled consistently.Primary resolution logic: Official Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys websites, and the live broadcast of the award ceremonyCore resolution logic:
- The market resolves according to the person who officially wins the Emmy Award for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series
- If no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, the market resolves in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order
- A consensus of credible reporting may be used if official sources are unavailable
Edge cases & clarifications:
- No Winner Declared: If no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order
- Overall Cancellation: In case of overall cancellation of the Emmy Awards, the market resolves in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order
- Tie for Winner: If there is a tie for the winner, the market resolves in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order
Polymarket
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kalshi
The event determines the winner of the Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series category at the 78th Emmy Awards. If any of the listed actresses—Brittany Allen, Tal Anderson, Tina Ivlev, Miriam Shor, Merritt Wever, Shailene Woodley—or a tie wins the award, the market resolves to Yes. Each primary rule specifies that the market resolves to Yes if the respective named actress wins the award, with an additional rule covering the scenario of a tie. No other outcomes resolve the market.