TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Entertainment
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series
kalshi
polymarket

Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series

Volume:
$163,085

Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay”

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 7, 1:27 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay”

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$45,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Betty Gilpin

100%
58%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,103
N/A
N/A
$5,113
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks”

0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,682
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kaitlin Olson

0%
43%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,219
N/A
N/A
$9,280
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,255
N/A
N/A
$4,117
Settled
No
polymarket

Leslie Bibb – “Hacks”

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Leslie Bibb

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,417
N/A
N/A
$1,243
Settled
No
kalshi

Lauren Weedman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,594
N/A
N/A
$1,623
Settled
No
polymarket

Lauren Weedman – “Hacks”

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear”

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jamie Lee Curtis

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,273
N/A
N/A
$1,951
Settled
No
kalshi

Laurie Metcalf

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,591
N/A
N/A
$1,259
Settled
No
polymarket

Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks”

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cherry Jones

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,356
N/A
N/A
$1,093
Settled
No
polymarket

Cherry Jones – “Hacks”

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,493
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

This event group tracks the 2026 Emmy Awards for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series, focusing on specific nominees from various comedy series. The markets will resolve based on who wins the award at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards scheduled for September 14, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi markets resolve based on the same criteria: the official winner of the Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, with tie-breaking rules favoring the alphabetically first nominee.Primary resolution logic: Official announcement from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the official winner of the Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards
  • In case of a tie, the nominee that comes first alphabetically will win
  • If no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, or in case of overall cancellation, the market resolves in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: Resolves in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order
  • No Declaration: Resolves in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order if no winner is declared by October 31, 2026
  • Cancellation: Resolves in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order if the awards are cancelled
Timing: Resolution occurs after the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony on September 14, 2026, and no later than October 31, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes for any market where the corresponding actress or a tie is announced as the winner of the Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series at the 78th Emmy Awards. Each market specifies a unique potential winner, and the outcome is determined solely by the official Emmy Awards results for that specific category. No other conditions or secondary rules affect the resolution beyond the declaration of the award winner.

Frequently asked questions

Key events such as Emmy nominations, major award show performances, critical reviews, and social media buzz can shift probabilities in this market. As the ceremony nears, any last-minute controversies, surprise guest appearances, or changes in voting trends may also cause rapid movements in trading odds, reflecting updated expectations among participants.