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Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series
kalshi
polymarket

Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series

Volume:
$159,891

Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt”

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 11:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt”

View
100%
83%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$19,815
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ernest Harden, Jr.

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$17,407
N/A
N/A
$13,138
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,261
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Colman Domingo

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,891
N/A
N/A
$7,442
Settled
No
polymarket

Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,122
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bradley Whitford

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,172
N/A
N/A
$3,091
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeff Hiller

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,254
N/A
N/A
$4,531
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus”

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,209
N/A
N/A
$2,617
Settled
No
kalshi

Jeff Kober

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,174
N/A
N/A
$3,598
Settled
No
polymarket

Jeff Kober – “The Pitt”

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses”

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,441
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Jonathan Pryce

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,425
N/A
N/A
$2,584
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event group tracks the 2026 Emmy Awards for Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series, covering seven specific nominees across two prediction markets. The resolution will depend on who wins the award at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards scheduled for September 14, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Tie handling divergence between platformsHero tip: Monitor official Emmy announcements closely in case of a tie. Polymarket will resolve alphabetically while Kalshi treats ties as a winning condition. Consider hedging positions if tie scenarios become probable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to the nominee that comes first in alphabetical order in case of no declared winner, cancellation, or tie
  • Kalshi: Explicitly resolves Yes if Tie has won the award
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series category at the 78th Emmy Awards. If any of the listed actors—Colman Domingo, Ernest Harden, Jr., Jeff Hiller, Jeff Kober, Jonathan Pryce, Bradley Whitford—or a tie wins the award, the market resolves to Yes. Each primary rule specifies that the market resolves to Yes if the respective named actor wins the award, with an additional rule covering the scenario of a tie. No other outcomes resolve the market.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the 2026 Emmys guest actor race aggregates real-time odds and liquidity from multiple prediction markets into one view. It shows how traders across platforms price the chances of different performers taking home the award, reflecting the latest consensus and divergence in expectations. With a total volume of $159,891 and 24-hour volume of $32,980, it offers a snapshot of market sentiment as the ceremony approaches. This centralized tracking makes it easy to compare probabilities and spot shifts in favorability for contenders in this market.

Key signals that could shift this market include major award nominations, critical reviews following new episodes, social media buzz around contender performances, and any last-minute controversies or endorsements. As the Emmys approach, debate shows, press tours, and fan campaigns often create rapid swings. Traders will watch these cues closely, especially any updates that reshape perceptions of frontrunners in the coming months.