TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
The Traitors
- Kalshi
The Traitors - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 14, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The Emmy Award for Outstanding Reality Competition Program honors the best in competitive reality television. This category focuses on shows where contestants participate in challenges, with judges or audience votes determining winners. The award highlights innovative formats and engaging competition dynamics.
Kalshi
The market resolves to Yes if any of the listed shows—Dancing With The Stars, RuPaul’s Drag Race, Survivor, Top Chef, The Traitors, or a Tie—wins the Outstanding Reality Competition Program at the 78th Emmy Awards. Each show is a nominated entry in the category, and the market’s outcome is determined exclusively by the official Emmy Awards announcement for this award. No other factors influence the resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a more nuanced view of voter preferences and campaign momentum. Analysts may weigh factors like production quality or past wins differently than traders, who price in real-time sentiment and betting patterns. When there’s a clear front-runner, this market usually assigns a higher implied probability to that outcome than many polls, capturing insider expectations and recent buzz.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Outstanding Reality Competition Program Emmy will be announced at the ceremony, and the result will be cross-checked against official broadcast records and reputable news sources before the market settles.
Key signals include major award announcements, critical media reviews, and any controversy or backlash surrounding the competing shows. Performance in earlier Emmy categories, fan campaigns, and last-minute voting trends can also shift probabilities. Traders will watch for any updates that affect perceptions of quality or popularity, as these often lead to rapid price adjustments in this market.
