TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 8, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jul 8, 1:43 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
Actors compete for nomination consideration at the 78th Emmy Awards in the Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie category.
Kalshi
If Charles Melton is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jonathan Banks is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Troy Kotsur is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alessandro Nivola is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jake Lacy is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jamie Bell is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Hollander is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Offerman is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Jenkins is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Pena is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Harbour is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Richard Gadd is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Supporting Actor In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst predictions and award-show forecasts. While analysts may rely on critical reviews, guild voting patterns, and historical precedent, market prices incorporate live sentiment from a diverse pool of participants. Comparing Kalshi odds to published predictions from entertainment journalists and award databases can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that experts may have underweighted.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each nominee is priced as a separate binary contract reflecting the probability they will receive a nomination in this category. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percent chance. Traders buy or sell contracts based on their conviction about each actor's likelihood of nomination, with prices adjusting dynamically as new information emerges—such as critical acclaim, industry buzz, or voting bloc signals—throughout the nomination window.
Key catalysts include critical acclaim and award-season momentum for limited series and anthology films, social media and industry buzz about standout performances, guild voting patterns from SAG-AFTRA and other bodies, surprise breakout roles gaining visibility, and shifts in voter sentiment as the nomination deadline approaches. Major entertainment publications often publish predictions and rankings that can influence market perception. Streaming platform promotion campaigns and word-of-mouth also shape trader expectations about which supporting actors will ultimately secure nominations.
