TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 3:12 PM EST
Kalshi
Limited and anthology series compete for nomination consideration at the 78th Emmy Awards in the Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series category.
If Beef is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Beast in Me is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Love Story is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If All Her Fault is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Half Man is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Black Rabbit is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Death by Lightning is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lord of the Flies is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If DTF St. Louis is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bait is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst predictions and award-season forecasts. Markets aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders, while analysts rely on voting patterns, industry buzz, and historical precedent. Market prices tend to react faster to breaking news, such as critical acclaim shifts or voting bloc announcements. Comparing Kalshi odds to major awards publications and entertainment analysts reveals whether the market is pricing in consensus favorites or contrarian picks. This comparison helps identify whether professional opinion aligns with crowd-sourced trading sentiment.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series contracts are priced between 0 and 100, where each point represents a 1% implied probability. Traders buy or sell shares in individual series outcomes; the current market price reflects the collective belief in that series' likelihood of winning. Prices fluctuate based on order flow, new information, and shifts in voter sentiment. Higher prices indicate stronger market conviction, while lower prices suggest skepticism. Real-money trading ensures skin-in-the-game incentives, making Kalshi prices a dynamic, continuously updated forecast of the Emmy outcome.
The Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Limited Or Anthology Series market resolves on Jul 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Emmy Award announcement for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series. The winning series is declared by the Television Academy during the live Emmy Awards ceremony. Only the series officially announced as the winner will resolve to YES; all other outcomes resolve to NO. Traders should monitor the official Emmy Awards schedule and any official Television Academy communications for confirmation of the exact resolution timing and outcome.
Key catalysts include critical reviews and awards-season momentum from the Golden Globes, SAG Awards, and BAFTA ceremonies. Voter sentiment shifts, industry publications' predictions, and social media buzz can drive significant price swings. Behind-the-scenes campaign activity and strategic Emmy voter outreach by studios influence perception. Unexpected critical reassessments or viral moments featuring nominated series can reshape market odds. Television Academy voting patterns and early leaks about frontrunners may trigger sharp moves. Major cast or creator announcements, streaming performance data, and entertainment news coverage all serve as real-time signals that traders incorporate into pricing.