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Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
kalshi

Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

Volume:
$6,867

Sally Field

 - Kalshi

Sally Field - Kalshi

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 9, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 3:16 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sally Field

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,301
N/A
N/A
$1,159
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sarah Snook

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
$79
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Claire Danes

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Carey Mulligan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sarah Pidgeon

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kerry Washington

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,891
N/A
N/A
$1,881
Settled
No
kalshi

Robin Wright

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,126
N/A
N/A
$981
Settled
No
kalshi

Tessa Thompson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$719
N/A
N/A
$710
Settled
No
kalshi

Linda Cardellini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$336
N/A
N/A
$336
Settled
No
kalshi

Rachel Weisz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$220
N/A
N/A
$220
Settled
No
kalshi

Helen Mirren

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16
N/A
N/A
$16
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

Actresses compete for nomination consideration at the 78th Emmy Awards in the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie category.

Kalshi

If Claire Danes is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sarah Snook is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Carey Mulligan is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sarah Pidgeon is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kerry Washington is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robin Wright is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Linda Cardellini is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tessa Thompson is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rachel Weisz is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. If Helen Mirren is on the list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie at the 78th Emmy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst predictions and award-season forecasts. Markets aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders with direct financial incentives to forecast accurately, whereas analysts rely on industry expertise and historical patterns. Emmy prediction markets typically reflect breaking news, campaign momentum, and voter sentiment faster than published predictions. Comparing Kalshi odds to major award forecasters and entertainment journalists can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that experts may have overlooked, making markets a complementary data source for Emmy outcome assessment.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each nominated actress is priced as a separate binary contract reflecting the probability she receives the Emmy nomination in this category. The price of each contract ranges from 0 to 100 cents, where the midpoint represents the market's implied odds. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overpriced. As new information emerges—such as precursor awards, industry buzz, or voting bloc signals—prices adjust dynamically. The sum of all contracts in the category may not equal 100 cents, reflecting uncertainty and the possibility of surprise outcomes or late-breaking developments affecting the field.

The Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actress In A Limited Or Anthology Series Or Movie market resolves on Jul 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Emmy Awards announcement for this category. The market will settle based on which actress is officially named as the winner by the Television Academy. Traders should monitor Emmy voting timelines and any official communications from the Academy to understand the exact resolution date and criteria. Once the winner is announced, the market resolves immediately and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome.

Several catalysts can shift odds for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie. Precursor awards—such as the Golden Globes, SAG Awards, and BAFTA—often signal Emmy voter sentiment and can trigger sharp repricing. Critical reviews, viewership data, and industry buzz about performances can build or erode momentum for contenders. Campaign activity, including studio promotion and actress visibility, influences perception. Unexpected nominations or snubs in related categories may affect confidence in frontrunners. Late-breaking news about voter blocs, Emmy rule changes, or shifts in the competitive landscape can also move markets significantly as the ceremony approaches.