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Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series
kalshi

Emmy nominees: Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

Volume:
$15,844

Ayo Edebiri

 - Kalshi

Ayo Edebiri - Kalshi

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 8, 2026

Closed: Jul 8, 1:19 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ayo Edebiri

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,403
N/A
N/A
$2,177
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lisa Kudrow

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,773
N/A
N/A
$1,665
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Quinta Brunson

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,716
N/A
N/A
$1,660
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jean Smart

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
$811
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Elle Fanning

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
$333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Jenna Ortega

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,121
N/A
N/A
$1,918
Settled
No
kalshi

Selena Gomez

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,029
N/A
N/A
$2,026
Settled
No
kalshi

Kristen Bell

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,314
N/A
N/A
$832
Settled
No
kalshi

Kristen Wiig

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,077
N/A
N/A
$740
Settled
No
kalshi

Rachel Sennott

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,031
N/A
N/A
$928
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

Actresses compete for nomination consideration at the 78th Emmy Awards in the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series category.

Kalshi

Each market resolves to Yes if the corresponding actress appears on the official list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, with nominations announced on Wednesday, July 8, 2026. An actress either receives a nomination or does not; there are no partial or conditional nominations.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and award-show predictions because markets aggregate real-time belief from thousands of traders with financial incentives to be accurate. While entertainment journalists and critics may emphasize critical acclaim or fan sentiment, prediction markets reflect aggregated expectations weighted by trader conviction. Comparing Kalshi odds to published predictions from major award forecasters, industry analysts, and entertainment media outlets reveals whether the market is pricing in factors those analysts may have overlooked or underweighted. This comparison helps identify potential value or consensus blind spots.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each eligible actress for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series is priced as a separate contract reflecting the market's probability that she will receive a nomination. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe a nomination is underpriced, or sell if they think it is overpriced. The market price adjusts continuously as new information emerges, viewership data is released, and voting patterns become clearer. Kalshi's order-book mechanism ensures transparent price discovery for this Emmy category.

The Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series market resolves on Jul 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Emmy Awards nomination announcement for this category. Each contract corresponding to a nominated actress resolves to 100 cents (a win), while contracts for actresses who do not receive a nomination resolve to 0 cents (a loss). The outcome is final once the Emmy Awards organization publicly announces the complete list of nominees in this category.

Several catalysts can shift odds for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series. New episodes or season finales of eligible shows may boost or diminish a performer's visibility and critical reception. Award-show precursors like the Golden Globes, Screen Actors Guild Awards, and Critics' Choice Awards often signal Emmy voting trends. Industry publications releasing updated predictions or rankings can trigger trader repositioning. Social media momentum, fan campaigns, and viral moments involving nominees influence market sentiment. Behind-the-scenes news about show renewals, cancellations, or cast changes also impacts perceived nomination likelihood. Closer to the deadline, leaked voting information or Emmy voter surveys may cause significant price swings.