TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$143,246,370
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,452,035,386
405,032
Markets across
30,543
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,690
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 1:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Actresses compete for nomination consideration at the 78th Emmy Awards in the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series category.
Each market resolves to Yes if the corresponding actress appears on the official list of nominees for Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, with nominations announced on Wednesday, July 8, 2026. An actress either receives a nomination or does not; there are no partial or conditional nominations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, each eligible actress for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series is priced as a separate contract reflecting the market's probability that she will receive a nomination. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a 1% implied probability. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe a nomination is underpriced, or sell if they think it is overpriced. The market price adjusts continuously as new information emerges, viewership data is released, and voting patterns become clearer. Kalshi's order-book mechanism ensures transparent price discovery for this Emmy category.
The Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series market resolves on Jul 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official Emmy Awards nomination announcement for this category. Each contract corresponding to a nominated actress resolves to 100 cents (a win), while contracts for actresses who do not receive a nomination resolve to 0 cents (a loss). The outcome is final once the Emmy Awards organization publicly announces the complete list of nominees in this category.
Several catalysts can shift odds for Outstanding Lead Actress In A Comedy Series. New episodes or season finales of eligible shows may boost or diminish a performer's visibility and critical reception. Award-show precursors like the Golden Globes, Screen Actors Guild Awards, and Critics' Choice Awards often signal Emmy voting trends. Industry publications releasing updated predictions or rankings can trigger trader repositioning. Social media momentum, fan campaigns, and viral moments involving nominees influence market sentiment. Behind-the-scenes news about show renewals, cancellations, or cast changes also impacts perceived nomination likelihood. Closer to the deadline, leaked voting information or Emmy voter surveys may cause significant price swings.