TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 1:13 PM EST
Kalshi
Comedy series compete for nomination consideration at the 78th Emmy Awards in the Outstanding Comedy Series category.
Each market resolves to Yes if the corresponding comedy series appears on the official list of nominees for Outstanding Comedy Series at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, with nominations announced on Wednesday, July 8, 2026. A series either receives a nomination or does not; there are no partial or conditional nominations.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and often diverge from traditional analyst predictions and award-show forecasts. While analysts may rely on critical reviews, viewership data, and historical Emmy patterns, prediction markets incorporate live sentiment from participants with financial stakes. Market odds for Outstanding Comedy Series nominees tend to shift more dynamically as Emmy voting deadlines approach and industry buzz evolves. Comparing Kalshi odds to major award prediction sites and entertainment media forecasts can reveal where market participants see value or disagreement with conventional wisdom.
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Comedy Series contracts on Kalshi are priced as binary or multiple-outcome derivatives reflecting the probability that each eligible comedy series receives a nomination. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents, where each cent represents a one-percent implied probability. Traders buy contracts at lower prices if they believe a series is undervalued and sell at higher prices if they expect nomination odds to decline. Kalshi's order book aggregates buy and sell interest, and the last-traded price or mid-market spread reflects the current consensus probability for each show's nomination chances.
The Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Comedy Series market resolves on Jul 9, 2026, following the official Emmy Awards announcement of nominees in the Outstanding Comedy Series category. Resolution is determined by which series are formally announced as nominees by the Television Academy. Each contract outcome corresponds to a specific eligible show, and resolution occurs once the Emmy organization publicly confirms the full list of nominees in this category. Traders holding contracts for nominated series receive payouts, while contracts for non-nominated series expire worthless.
Emmy Nominations: Outstanding Comedy Series odds can shift based on several key catalysts. Major viewership milestones, critical acclaim, and industry award wins (Golden Globes, Critics' Choice, SAG Awards) often influence market sentiment. Changes in Emmy voter eligibility or voting rule announcements may also impact expectations. Media coverage of frontrunners, surprise breakout hits, or controversies involving shows or networks can trigger repricing. As the Emmy voting deadline approaches, increased trading activity and late-breaking industry news typically drive volatility. Fan campaigns and social media momentum may also sway trader confidence in underdog series' nomination chances.