TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Emmen and De Graafschap, focusing on determining whether one team secures a victory within the standard 90-minute regulation time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The result hinges solely on the final score after regular time, with specific conditions for resolving tied or disrupted matches.
The event resolves based on the result of the Emmen vs De Graafschap professional Eerste Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for September 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Emmen wins, De Graafschap wins, or the match ends in a tie—all determined within regular time. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of regulation time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the market anticipates information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and discrepancies can occur due to differing analyses and risk appetites.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Emmen vs De Graafschap match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, constantly refining the implied probabilities. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and express collective predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Emmen vs De Graafschap match, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to finalize settlement. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. It’s important to monitor official announcements for the definitive result.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Additionally, pre-match analysis from sports commentators, updated team statistics, and even weather forecasts could all impact trader sentiment. A surprising result in a related match, or a shift in public perception of either team’s form, could also cause the market to move. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations and inform your trading strategy.