TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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emails i can't send streams up this week?
kalshi

emails i can't send streams up this week?

Volume:
$0

Target Streams: 23,051,333

 - Kalshi

Target Streams: 23,051,333 - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 4:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Target Streams: 23,051,333

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Sabrina Carpenter's song "emails i can't send" will accumulate more than 23,051,333 streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 47.5%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate worldwide stream counts for that specific week, with settlement expected by June 1, 2026. Watch the song's streaming performance during the May 22–28 tracking period to gauge whether it will exceed the 23.05 million stream threshold.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the emails i can't send streams prediction on Kalshi. It displays the current probability that Sabrina Carpenter's song will achieve above 23,051,333 streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 window. You can monitor live price movements, historical odds trends, and 24-hour trading volume in USD. This single-venue view lets you see how market participants are pricing the likelihood of this streaming threshold being met as the resolution date approaches.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders on Kalshi, whereas analyst forecasts typically rely on historical streaming patterns, chart performance, and industry expertise. Market odds update continuously as new information emerges, while analyst predictions are often static or updated less frequently. For Sabrina Carpenter's streaming potential, comparing market-implied probabilities to music industry forecasts can reveal whether traders are pricing in factors analysts may have overlooked, such as playlist momentum or promotional activity during that specific week.

On Kalshi, the market is priced as a binary contract: will emails i can't send by Sabrina Carpenter exceed 23,051,333 streams on Luminate from May 22–28? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares reflecting their belief in the outcome. The current market price reflects the collective assessment of streaming performance during that exact week. As new data on early streams, playlist placements, and listener engagement becomes available, the price adjusts. Settlement depends on final Luminate stream counts reported for that period.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Sabrina Carpenter's song emails i can't send reaches the specified streaming threshold on Luminate during the May 22–28 measurement window. The outcome hinges on official stream counts reported by Luminate at the close of that period. Traders should monitor streaming platforms and Luminate data as the resolution date approaches to assess the likelihood of the threshold being met.

Key catalysts include playlist additions on major streaming services, which can drive significant volume spikes. Radio play, social media virality, and music video performance on YouTube all influence streaming velocity. Chart debuts and industry coverage can accelerate listener adoption. Real-time streaming data releases or early-week performance reports may shift market expectations. Additionally, competing releases or broader music industry trends during that week could affect listener attention. Tracking daily or cumulative stream counts as May 22–28 unfolds will provide the clearest signal of whether the threshold is achievable.