TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 12:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which player will win the first set of a tennis match between Elsa Jacquemot and Marie Bouzkova at the 2026 US Open. The outcome depends solely on the result of the first set, regardless of the final match result. It reflects the competitive dynamics and performance of both players in the early stages of their encounter.
If Elsa Jacquemot wins set 1 in the Elsa Jacquemot vs Marie Bouzkova professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marie Bouzkova wins set 1 in the Elsa Jacquemot vs Marie Bouzkova professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through their buying and selling activity, which determines the implied probability for each outcome. The current top chance reflects collective wisdom among participants, adjusted for liquidity and recent trades. Volume of $8,430 indicates the level of interest and available depth for traders looking to enter or adjust positions as the event nears.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the opening set will be the official result, determined by the match's final score as reported by authoritative sports news outlets and tournament organizers. No further analysis or interpretation is needed beyond the publicly recorded match result.
Key signals such as recent match practice updates, player injuries, or weather conditions (if relevant) could shift expectations and move this market. Media commentary, expert predictions, and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. As the tournament begins, early set performance or momentum swings in practice sessions can cause rapid price adjustments, reflecting evolving perceptions of who is most likely to take the first set.