TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,422
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Jul 2, 1:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the second set in the professional tennis match between Elise Mertens and Maria Timofeeva at the 2026 Wimbledon Women's Singles Round of 64 on July 2. The winner of set 2 will be determined by standard tennis scoring rules.
The market resolves based on which player wins set 2 of the Mertens vs. Timofeeva match at 2026 Wimbledon Women's Singles Round of 64. If the match does not occur before it starts due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play will resolve accordingly; those that cannot be settled will resolve to Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from real-time trader consensus. This market reflects what active traders believe will happen, which can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different liquidity, participant pools, and risk appetites. Comparing the two can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers diverge on this set outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, once the Mertens versus Timofeeva match is completed and the set two result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which player wins the second set during their match. No partial or disputed results affect the resolution—only the official set winner matters. Once the event concludes and the result is confirmed, this market will settle and payouts will be distributed to holders of the winning outcome.
Several factors could shift odds before resolution. Recent form and head-to-head records between the players often influence trader positioning. Court surface, weather conditions on match day, and any last-minute injury reports can trigger rapid repricing. Betting patterns from professional traders or sharp money entering the market may signal new information. Pre-match commentary from analysts and odds movements at traditional sportsbooks can also prompt traders to adjust their positions. Real-time match updates during set one may provide clues about player momentum and fitness, affecting expectations for set two.