TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 16, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Elimai FK and Alashkert FA, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Elimai FK" if Elimai FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Alashkert FA" if Alashkert FA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Elimai FK and Alashkert FA, scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Elimai FK" if Elimai FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Alashkert FA" if Alashkert FA are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like Polymarket price outcomes through direct trader participation and supply-and-demand dynamics. For this match, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value. Prediction markets tend to be efficient at pricing widely followed events, though sharp differences sometimes signal where one venue has better information or different risk appetite.
On Polymarket, traders directly set prices by buying and selling shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief about the probability of that team scoring first. As new information emerges—team news, injury updates, or betting patterns—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous price discovery mechanism means the market adapts in real time to new signals, creating a dynamic odds environment throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is officially recorded. The outcome is confirmed when verified against credible public sources covering the event. Whichever team scores the opening goal determines the winning outcome, and the market settles accordingly. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is straightforward and tied directly to the verifiable result of the match.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before Jul 16, 2026. Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage can all influence trader positioning. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one side may signal where informed traders see value. Weather conditions, referee assignments, and late-breaking roster updates can also move the needle. Monitor official team communications and credible sports news for the most impactful signals.