TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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ELH: Trinec vs. Mountfield HK
polymarket
kalshi

ELH: Trinec vs. Mountfield HK

Volume:
$47,250

HC Ocelari Trinec

 - Kalshi

HC Ocelari Trinec - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 25, 2026

Closed: Mar 25, 3:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

HC Ocelari Trinec

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20,492
N/A
N/A
$10,894
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ELH: Trinec vs. Mountfield HK

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mountfield HK

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,853
N/A
N/A
$12,116
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming ELH game, scheduled for March 25 at 12:00PM ET: If Trinec win, the market will resolve to "Trinec". If Mountfield HK win, the market will resolve to "Mountfield HK". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken and resolves to YES for both possible outcomes (Trinec win OR Mountfield HK win), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes (Trinec vs. Mountfield HK) with a defined tie-breaker (50-50 cancellation clause).Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria state that the market resolves YES if either team wins, which violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket's market is the only logically sound option for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Resolves to either 'Trinec' or 'Mountfield HK' based on final score including overtime and shootouts, with a 50-50 resolution if the game is canceled entirely. 'If Trinec win, the market will resolve to Trinec. If Mountfield HK win, the market will resolve to Mountfield HK.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (logically broken): Resolves to YES if HC Ocelari Trinec wins OR if Mountfield HK wins, creating a tautology where both possible outcomes trigger YES. 'If HC Ocelari Trinec wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Mountfield HK wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.