TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
ELH: Liberec vs. Karlovy Vary
Volume:
$636
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Czech Extraliga hockey match between HC Energie Karlovy Vary and Bili Tygri Liberec scheduled for March 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT. Markets resolve based on which team wins the game, including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a critical flaw: it resolves to Yes for both possible outcomes (Liberec win OR Karlovy Vary win), making the market logically unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes (Liberec vs. Karlovy Vary), while Kalshi's dual-YES condition violates fundamental binary market logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution criteria are logically contradictory—the market cannot distinguish between the two teams' outcomes and will resolve incorrectly regardless of the actual game result. Polymarket's market is the only reliable settlement mechanism for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (correct logic): Polymarket establishes mutually exclusive outcomes where the market resolves to either 'Liberec' or 'Karlovy Vary' based on the final score, with clear handling of postponements (market remains open) and cancellations (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If Liberec win, the market will resolve to Liberec. If Karlovy Vary win, the market will resolve to Karlovy Vary.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (critical flaw): Kalshi's resolution criteria state that the market resolves to Yes if EITHER Bili Tygri Liberec wins OR HC Energie Karlovy Vary wins, creating a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state. Key quote: 'If Bili Tygri Liberec wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If HC Energie Karlovy Vary wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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